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| 5月23日鋼材價格最新行情走勢分析 |
鋼材價(jia)格
【建筑(zhu)(zhu)鋼材】22日建筑(zhu)(zhu)鋼材市(shi)(shi)場價(jia)(jia)格(ge)跌(die)(die)幅(fu)減小，主要(yao)城市(shi)(shi)螺(luo)(luo)(luo)紋(wen)(wen)(wen)鋼均價(jia)(jia)為3318元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)，較上一個(ge)(ge)交(jiao)易日下(xia)(xia)跌(die)(die)3元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)。當日主力合約(yue)2510收盤(pan)價(jia)(jia)3061元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)，較前一個(ge)(ge)交(jiao)易日下(xia)(xia)跌(die)(die)1元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)，跌(die)(die)幅(fu)再(zai)次(ci)減小。較杭州沙(sha)鋼螺(luo)(luo)(luo)紋(wen)(wen)(wen)市(shi)(shi)價(jia)(jia)3300元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)升水241元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)。今(jin)日現(xian)貨(huo)(huo)市(shi)(shi)場價(jia)(jia)格(ge)下(xia)(xia)跌(die)(die)幅(fu)度再(zai)次(ci)縮小，現(xian)河鋼小螺(luo)(luo)(luo)紋(wen)(wen)(wen)3310元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)，大(da)螺(luo)(luo)(luo)紋(wen)(wen)(wen)3160元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)，盤(pan)螺(luo)(luo)(luo)3400元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)，成交(jiao)仍弱(ruo)(ruo)(ruo)。今(jin)天(tian)(tian)期(qi)(qi)螺(luo)(luo)(luo)寬幅(fu)震(zhen)蕩運(yun)(yun)行，現(xian)貨(huo)(huo)市(shi)(shi)場情(qing)(qing)緒一般(ban)，商(shang)家(jia)報價(jia)(jia)持穩為主，終端剛需采(cai)購，整體成交(jiao)仍弱(ruo)(ruo)(ruo)。今(jin)日唐山遷安松汀鋼坯報2950元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)，上調10元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)(dun)(dun)。昨夜盤(pan)期(qi)(qi)螺(luo)(luo)(luo)震(zhen)蕩偏(pian)強運(yun)(yun)行，今(jin)天(tian)(tian)上午期(qi)(qi)螺(luo)(luo)(luo)震(zhen)蕩偏(pian)弱(ruo)(ruo)(ruo)運(yun)(yun)行，早盤(pan)商(shang)家(jia)報價(jia)(jia)持平于昨天(tian)(tian)，下(xia)(xia)游(you)詢單(dan)(dan)謹慎，市(shi)(shi)場觀望情(qing)(qing)緒濃。下(xia)(xia)午期(qi)(qi)螺(luo)(luo)(luo)先跌(die)(die)后漲，商(shang)家(jia)報價(jia)(jia)基本不變，下(xia)(xia)游(you)少量采(cai)購，雨天(tian)(tian)略有(you)(you)影響成交(jiao)，全天(tian)(tian)成交(jiao)維持弱(ruo)(ruo)(ruo)勢。綜(zong)合來看，今(jin)天(tian)(tian)螺(luo)(luo)(luo)紋(wen)(wen)(wen)數據欠佳(jia)，空(kong)(kong)頭下(xia)(xia)午盤(pan)中(zhong)集(ji)(ji)中(zhong)增空(kong)(kong)單(dan)(dan)，但尾盤(pan)又(you)撤出部分空(kong)(kong)單(dan)(dan)，盤(pan)面探底回(hui)升，然(ran)而(er)空(kong)(kong)單(dan)(dan)仍然(ran)有(you)(you)繼續集(ji)(ji)中(zhong)進場可能，商(shang)家(jia)心態偏(pian)弱(ruo)(ruo)(ruo)，預(yu)計23日建筑(zhu)(zhu)鋼材市(shi)(shi)場價(jia)(jia)格(ge)偏(pian)弱(ruo)(ruo)(ruo)運(yun)(yun)行。
【熱(re)(re)軋(ya)(ya)卷(juan)板】22日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)熱(re)(re)軋(ya)(ya)現貨價(jia)格(ge)總體(ti)(ti)(ti)繼續(xu)小幅反彈。全國主要城市(shi)均價(jia)3305元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)21日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)漲(zhang)1元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)周環比跌(die)(die)(die)29元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，上海3260-3280元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)21日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)穩(wen)較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)上周同期跌(die)(die)(die)30元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，樂從3340-3360元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)21日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)穩(wen)較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)上周同期跌(die)(die)(die)30元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)。天(tian)(tian)津3200-3220元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)21日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)穩(wen)較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)上周同期跌(die)(die)(die)30元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)。燕鋼招標價(jia)今(jin)天(tian)(tian)較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)前一工作(zuo)日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)價(jia)格(ge)穩(wen)。今(jin)天(tian)(tian)鋼坯報價(jia)2940-2950元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)21日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)漲(zhang)10元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)。熱(re)(re)軋(ya)(ya)期貨日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)內(nei)區間震蕩(dang)幅度較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)大，但收(shou)(shou)盤仍微跌(die)(die)(die)，收(shou)(shou)盤3210元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)前一日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)跌(die)(die)(die)1元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)跌(die)(die)(die)幅0.03%。今(jin)日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)鋼材(cai)現貨成交整體(ti)(ti)(ti)一般偏弱，環比昨(zuo)日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)轉弱，價(jia)格(ge)環比昨(zuo)日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)持(chi)平或微跌(die)(die)(die)。短(duan)期價(jia)格(ge)未有明顯(xian)政策和需求支撐，仍將保持(chi)小幅區間震蕩(dang)的(de)態勢。
【冷(leng)(leng)軋(ya)卷(juan)(juan)板】22日(ri)全國(guo)主要(yao)城市(shi)冷(leng)(leng)軋(ya)板均價(jia)為(wei)3975元(yuan)/噸(dun)，較上工作(zuo)日(ri)跌5元(yuan)/噸(dun)，較上周同(tong)期(qi)(qi)跌33元(yuan)/噸(dun)。其中，上海地區(qu)市(shi)場(chang)價(jia)格(ge)鞍鋼1.0冷(leng)(leng)卷(juan)(juan)3680元(yuan)/噸(dun)，穩(wen)；天津天鐵1.0冷(leng)(leng)卷(juan)(juan)3640元(yuan)/噸(dun)，穩(wen)；樂從柳鋼1.0冷(leng)(leng)卷(juan)(juan)3750元(yuan)/噸(dun)。期(qi)(qi)貨盤面區(qu)間震蕩(dang)，冷(leng)(leng)軋(ya)現貨市(shi)場(chang)價(jia)格(ge)穩(wen)中個降，市(shi)場(chang)活躍(yue)度不高，終端采購按需(xu)拿(na)貨，總體成交表現一般偏弱(ruo)，出貨乏力。需(xu)求釋放(fang)節奏放(fang)緩，較上周冷(leng)(leng)軋(ya)庫存(cun)略增，基本(ben)面支撐在(zai)逐步(bu)減弱(ruo)，臨近結算市(shi)場(chang)多謹慎操作(zuo)為(wei)主。預計短期(qi)(qi)冷(leng)(leng)軋(ya)價(jia)格(ge)窄幅震蕩(dang)運(yun)行。
【無縫(feng)(feng)(feng)管(guan)(guan)】22日(ri)(ri)(ri)全國(guo)無縫(feng)(feng)(feng)管(guan)(guan)市(shi)場主流售(shou)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)平(ping)穩，成(cheng)交一(yi)般。全國(guo)33個(ge)城(cheng)市(shi)108*4.5的(de)無縫(feng)(feng)(feng)管(guan)(guan)平(ping)均售(shou)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)為4299元/噸(dun)(dun)，較前(qian)一(yi)交易日(ri)(ri)(ri)持平(ping)，較上周(zhou)同期(qi)漲(zhang)(zhang)6元/噸(dun)(dun)。原料方(fang)面(mian)，今(jin)日(ri)(ri)(ri)管(guan)(guan)坯(pi)(pi)市(shi)場主流價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格平(ping)穩，現連(lian)鑄(zhu)管(guan)(guan)坯(pi)(pi)出(chu)廠(chang)售(shou)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)約3250-3280元/噸(dun)(dun)左(zuo)右(you)，熱(re)軋(ya)坯(pi)(pi)市(shi)場售(shou)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)3240-3250元/噸(dun)(dun)左(zuo)右(you)。管(guan)(guan)廠(chang)方(fang)面(mian)，山(shan)東無縫(feng)(feng)(feng)管(guan)(guan)出(chu)廠(chang)售(shou)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)平(ping)穩，山(shan)東一(yi)道次冷拔管(guan)(guan)出(chu)廠(chang)4580元/噸(dun)(dun)，熱(re)軋(ya)管(guan)(guan)出(chu)廠(chang)3980元/噸(dun)(dun)，聊城(cheng)厚壁管(guan)(guan)出(chu)廠(chang)3850-3880元/噸(dun)(dun)左(zuo)右(you)。市(shi)場方(fang)面(mian)，今(jin)日(ri)(ri)(ri)期(qi)螺飄綠(lv)，截至5月22日(ri)(ri)(ri)收盤，螺紋鋼2510收3061元/噸(dun)(dun)，跌0.03%；熱(re)卷(juan)2510收3210元/噸(dun)(dun)，漲(zhang)(zhang)0.09%；鐵礦(kuang)石2509收727.0元/噸(dun)(dun)，漲(zhang)(zhang)0.14%。今(jin)日(ri)(ri)(ri)螺紋鋼期(qi)貨降(jiang)(jiang)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)以及鋼坯(pi)(pi)售(shou)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)均呈現小幅降(jiang)(jiang)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)的(de)趨(qu)勢，市(shi)場活躍(yue)度仍較差，市(shi)場心態(tai)也(ye)不佳，積極出(chu)貨，今(jin)全國(guo)124家無縫(feng)(feng)(feng)管(guan)(guan)貿易商樣本(ben)企業成(cheng)交總量為15092噸(dun)(dun)，日(ri)(ri)(ri)環比下降(jiang)(jiang)0.8%，年同比下降(jiang)(jiang)4.0%。預(yu)計(ji)全國(guo)地區(qu)無縫(feng)(feng)(feng)管(guan)(guan)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格或窄(zhai)幅震蕩運行。
【不(bu)銹鋼(gang)(gang)】22日不(bu)銹鋼(gang)(gang)現貨(huo)價(jia)(jia)格主穩(wen)(wen)(wen)運(yun)(yun)行(xing)。無錫(xi)(xi)市場(chang)方面：304冷(leng)(leng)軋太鋼(gang)(gang)報價(jia)(jia)為(wei)13750元(yuan)/噸，較(jiao)(jiao)前(qian)(qian)一交易日持(chi)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)；宏旺資(zi)源(yuan)報價(jia)(jia)為(wei)13150元(yuan)/噸，較(jiao)(jiao)前(qian)(qian)一交易日持(chi)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)；304熱軋報價(jia)(jia)為(wei)12750元(yuan)/噸，較(jiao)(jiao)前(qian)(qian)一交易日持(chi)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)。200系方面:今日冷(leng)(leng)熱軋價(jia)(jia)格小幅(fu)趨(qu)低(di)，目前(qian)(qian)J1四尺冷(leng)(leng)軋資(zi)源(yuan)錫(xi)(xi)佛主流報至(zhi)毛邊7500-7800元(yuan)/噸，J2J5資(zi)源(yuan)走至(zhi)毛邊6850-7100元(yuan)/噸。綜合(he)而言(yan)，今日不(bu)銹鋼(gang)(gang)現貨(huo)價(jia)(jia)格主穩(wen)(wen)(wen)運(yun)(yun)行(xing)，期貨(huo)盤面震蕩翻紅(hong)，商家多(duo)謹慎，交投一般，預計近期不(bu)銹鋼(gang)(gang)市場(chang)將繼續(xu)窄幅(fu)調整。
原料(liao)價格(ge)
【進(jin)口(kou)礦(kuang)】22日(ri)(ri)黑(hei)色系(xi)(xi)鐵(tie)(tie)礦(kuang)石期(qi)貨震(zhen)蕩(dang)波動運行，09鐵(tie)(tie)礦(kuang)終(zhong)收727元/噸漲0.14成(cheng)交(jiao)量27.9萬日(ri)(ri)增倉8668手(shou)；全(quan)天(tian)成(cheng)交(jiao)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)環比小幅(fu)波動2-5元/噸左(zuo)右。唐山地區(qu)(qu)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)：PB粉(fen)(fen)(fen)780/775/778元/噸，紐曼(man)粉(fen)(fen)(fen)752元/噸，SP10粉(fen)(fen)(fen)698元/噸，卡粉(fen)(fen)(fen)862元/噸；天(tian)津地區(qu)(qu)成(cheng)交(jiao)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)：卡粉(fen)(fen)(fen)875元/噸；山東(dong)地區(qu)(qu)成(cheng)交(jiao)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)：PB粉(fen)(fen)(fen)755/757/760元/噸，超(chao)特粉(fen)(fen)(fen)635/630元/噸。進(jin)口(kou)礦(kuang)現貨市(shi)場穩中(zhong)小幅(fu)波動運行。今日(ri)(ri)鐵(tie)(tie)礦(kuang)盤面日(ri)(ri)內小幅(fu)增倉，日(ri)(ri)線收十字(zi)星，多空博弈較大，全(quan)天(tian)現貨交(jiao)投情緒尚可(ke)。目前成(cheng)材端需求預期(qi)仍偏(pian)(pian)弱，表需延續(xu)小幅(fu)回落，成(cheng)材端情緒謹慎偏(pian)(pian)弱，但鐵(tie)(tie)礦(kuang)石基本面仍是黑(hei)色系(xi)(xi)中(zhong)相對有(you)支撐。后期(qi)仍需要關注宏觀(guan)面和(he)下游需求如何。綜合(he)來看，預計短期(qi)內鐵(tie)(tie)礦(kuang)石市(shi)場或震(zhen)蕩(dang)調整運行為主。
【焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)炭(tan)(tan)】22日國內焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)炭(tan)(tan)市場(chang)弱(ruo)勢(shi)持(chi)穩(wen)，山西地區主流準(zhun)一(yi)級(ji)濕熄(xi)(xi)焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)出廠(chang)1150-1200元/噸(dun)，準(zhun)一(yi)級(ji)干熄(xi)(xi)焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)價(jia)格(ge)1375-1445元/噸(dun)。焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)煤(mei)價(jia)格(ge)窄幅回(hui)(hui)落，焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)企(qi)保持(chi)一(yi)定(ding)利(li)潤，維持(chi)正常生(sheng)產，發貨積極，部分地區焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)企(qi)庫(ku)存稍有累積，整體庫(ku)存壓力不(bu)大。鋼廠(chang)開(kai)工維持(chi)高(gao)位，焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)炭(tan)(tan)的剛性(xing)需(xu)(xu)求仍在(zai)，鐵水暫維持(chi)高(gao)位，鋼廠(chang)焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)炭(tan)(tan)庫(ku)存回(hui)(hui)升(sheng)，采購節(jie)奏放緩。綜合來(lai)看，下游需(xu)(xu)求趨(qu)弱(ruo)，焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)炭(tan)(tan)供(gong)(gong)需(xu)(xu)趨(qu)于寬松(song)，焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)煤(mei)下跌讓利(li)，焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)炭(tan)(tan)價(jia)格(ge)仍維持(chi)弱(ruo)勢(shi)。后(hou)期需(xu)(xu)持(chi)續關注鋼廠(chang)生(sheng)產情(qing)況(kuang)(kuang)、原料煤(mei)價(jia)格(ge)走勢(shi)、宏觀政策、運輸情(qing)況(kuang)(kuang)、焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)炭(tan)(tan)庫(ku)存變(bian)化、焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)炭(tan)(tan)供(gong)(gong)需(xu)(xu)情(qing)況(kuang)(kuang)、焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)鋼利(li)潤等對焦(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)炭(tan)(tan)市場(chang)的影響。
【鋼(gang)(gang)坯】22日(ri)國內鋼(gang)(gang)坯市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)價(jia)穩中有漲，幅(fu)度(du)10-20元(yuan)/噸(dun)，低(di)位(wei)雖有成交，但高位(wei)仍承壓運行。今早盤(pan)(pan)(pan)期(qi)(qi)(qi)貨(huo)盤(pan)(pan)(pan)面震蕩上(shang)(shang)揚，市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)情(qing)(qing)(qing)緒隨之升溫，低(di)位(wei)資源成交量較可，交易活(huo)躍度(du)提升。受(shou)此(ci)帶動，部(bu)分鋼(gang)(gang)坯廠(chang)商順(shun)勢上(shang)(shang)調(diao)報價(jia)。然(ran)行情(qing)(qing)(qing)未能持續向好。午(wu)后期(qi)(qi)(qi)貨(huo)盤(pan)(pan)(pan)面震蕩回落，市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)交投熱情(qing)(qing)(qing)降(jiang)溫，觀(guan)望情(qing)(qing)(qing)緒濃重，成交節奏放緩。受(shou)此(ci)影響，個(ge)別主流(liu)城市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)鋼(gang)(gang)坯現貨(huo)價(jia)格(ge)隨之走低(di)。截止發(fa)稿(gao)，唐(tang)山部(bu)分報2940-2950元(yuan)/噸(dun)，江(jiang)陰報2990元(yuan)/噸(dun)。從目前行情(qing)(qing)(qing)來看(kan)，近期(qi)(qi)(qi)鋼(gang)(gang)坯供需變化不(bu)大，社會庫存(cun)延續下降(jiang)趨勢，在一定程度(du)上(shang)(shang)為價(jia)格(ge)提供底(di)部(bu)支撐。不(bu)過(guo)，消息面缺(que)乏實質(zhi)性利好刺激，市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)缺(que)乏明確方向指引，廠(chang)商操作(zuo)趨于(yu)謹慎(shen)，當前普遍對后市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)持保守態度(du)，短期(qi)(qi)(qi)信心(xin)偏弱(ruo)。綜合來看(kan)，預計近期(qi)(qi)(qi)市(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)維持小幅(fu)盤(pan)(pan)(pan)整觀(guan)望的局(ju)面。
【廢(fei)(fei)鋼(gang)(gang)】22日廢(fei)(fei)鋼(gang)(gang)市(shi)(shi)場(chang)震(zhen)蕩(dang)(dang)調整運行(xing)，部分鋼(gang)(gang)廠(chang)漲跌(die)互(hu)現，跌(die)多漲少。其中華東(dong)和華北地(di)區部分鋼(gang)(gang)廠(chang)漲跌(die)互(hu)現，調整幅度多在10-20元/噸之間。目(mu)前華東(dong)地(di)區市(shi)(shi)場(chang)重廢(fei)(fei)不含稅1980-2130元/噸。近日鋼(gang)(gang)材期(qi)現貨震(zhen)蕩(dang)(dang)偏(pian)弱，鋼(gang)(gang)廠(chang)利潤空間有(you)限(xian)，降本(ben)意愿較強。目(mu)前廢(fei)(fei)鋼(gang)(gang)相(xiang)(xiang)較鐵水缺乏性(xing)價比(bi)優勢，鋼(gang)(gang)廠(chang)用廢(fei)(fei)積極(ji)性(xing)一(yi)(yi)般，抑制廢(fei)(fei)鋼(gang)(gang)價格。不過考慮到廢(fei)(fei)鋼(gang)(gang)市(shi)(shi)場(chang)流通(tong)資源有(you)限(xian)，且鋼(gang)(gang)廠(chang)和基地(di)庫存均處于相(xiang)(xiang)對低位，對廢(fei)(fei)鋼(gang)(gang)價格有(you)一(yi)(yi)定支撐(cheng)。預計短期(qi)廢(fei)(fei)鋼(gang)(gang)市(shi)(shi)場(chang)小幅震(zhen)蕩(dang)(dang)運行(xing)。 |
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